DIVA Support

 

Dynamic Interactive Vulnerability Assessment tool

Welcome to DIVA Support Sign in | Join | Help
in Search

Create a null case

Last post 11-04-2008 5:08 PM by PoulG. 1 replies.
Page 1 of 1 (2 items)
Sort Posts: Previous Next
  • 10-31-2008 12:00 PM

    Create a null case

    Hello, I am Thaleia Avagianou from Greece, using DIVA applications.

    I tried unsuccessfully to create a null case, supposing that there is no climate nor socioeconomic change up to 2500.

    That was attempted by deleting at the dcc file of the case the 8 and 9 th row of the file, while the equations ("") remained. By that way, the GUI of DIVA tool for that case was blank at the scenario selection, but the outputs dont seem to have reasonable values (but without problems during the runs, or error messages). Do you have any idea of how the null case can be achieved, or what is wrong in that procedure? And if that idea is totally wrong, how did the results came out?Using what scenario (climate/socioeconomic)??

     Thank you in advance!!

    Any idea would be of great help to me..

  • 11-04-2008 5:08 PM In reply to

    • PoulG
    • Top 10 Contributor
    • Joined on 07-24-2006
    • Delft
    • Posts 64

    Re: Create a null case

    Dear Thaleia,

    A good question, what is a proper reference case ("null case") to compare your results with. Is zero sea level rise a good null case? Probably not. Is a zero growth for population and for economy and no land use changes a good "null" case for the socio-economic inputs? Probably not. It all depends on your definition of what kind of a case you would like to refer to / compare with. In policy analysis usually the reference case is the one with autonomous developments caused by external changes (external with regard to the model scope). That would mean that there is population growth and there is economic growth and there will be land use changes and there will be sea level changes.

    In DIVA the input data for scenario's are highly interdependant. So what we have done is to take the six SRES storylines for future development as the basis. This provides a consistent dataset for population, economic growth and land use changes. On top of this you specify a choice for the sea level scenario. The sea level scenario's are again consistent with the selected SRES scenario as the calculation of the sea level rise (by the CLIMBER model from PIK in Potsdam Germany) uses the SRES storyline data as input. So the scenarios we created are internally consistent.

    The easiest for you to do is to select one of SRES storylines as your "reference" and then select a sea level rise scenario (medium uniform?). Then you can simply use the GUI directly. 

    If you really want to make your own null case, you will have to make your own scenario dataset (i.e population growth data, economic growth data, land use change data, sea level rise data) and then select that in the GUI. In the frequently asked questions there is a section dealing with creating you own scenario, I suggest you study that and if have any questions after that please let me know. See this post

    Editing the DCC file manually is not what should be done to prepare a new scenario ;) It is overwritten based on the internal data whenever a calculation is made. By making the selected scenario's blank in the file you create an invalid case specification. There always must be a selected SRES scenario and a selected sea level rise scenario.

    Kind regards,

    Poul Grashoff

Page 1 of 1 (2 items)
Powered by Community Server (Non-Commercial Edition), by Telligent Systems